In brief
According to a recent report from the Congressional Budget Office, President Trump's proposed immigration measures could result in the removal of approximately 320,000 individuals from the United States over the next decade. The report suggests that the U.S. population growth will slow, leading to an estimated 4.5 million fewer people by 2035 compared to earlier projections. This decline, coupled with a lower fertility rate, raises concerns about labor force participation and the broader economy.
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump’s plans for mass deportations and other hardline immigration measures will result in roughly 320,000 people being removed from the United States over the next ten years, as indicated by a report from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO). This report also forecasts a slower growth rate for the U.S. population than previously anticipated.Trump’s tax and spending law, signed in July, allocated about $150 billion to enhance his mass deportation agenda over the next four years, which includes funding for extending the southern border wall, detention centers, and hiring thousands of additional law enforcement officials. The CBO estimates that around 290,000 immigrants could be removed from the country through these measures, with an additional 30,000 anticipated to leave voluntarily.Combined with a declining fertility rate in the U.S., the reduction in immigration could lead to a population that is 4.5 million lower by 2035 than earlier CBO projections indicated. While the agency noted that its population estimates are highly uncertain, it anticipates a U.S. population of 367 million by 2055.Lower immigration levels may have significant implications for the nation’s economy and government budget, especially concerning the availability of workers aged 25 to 54, who typically participate in the labor force. The report did not delve deeply into economic impacts but did highlight that fewer such individuals are expected in future population projections.Democrats have raised alarms about how mass deportations might negatively affect the U.S. economy, possibly leading to increased prices for essentials like groceries. In the White House, Trump has expressed a desire to see a “baby boom” in America, hinting at initiatives to encourage higher birth rates, however, the CBO found no evidence suggesting that this would materialize. It noted that deaths are projected to exceed births in 2031, accelerating the population decline two years earlier than previously estimated.
